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Analyses : Predictability Analysis

A clear breakdown of product distribution across predictable sales, new products, and unpredictable sales, which can be highly informative when used effectively.




1. Inventory Planning & Stock Coverage

  • If a high percentage of products fall into predictable sales, it suggests stability, allowing for reliable stock replenishment.

  • A high percentage of new products indicates the need for careful stock monitoring since their sales trends are still uncertain.

  • A significant portion in unpredictable sales may require special strategies like safety stock buffers or deeper investigation into demand fluctuations.

2. Demand Forecasting & Decision-Making

  • Tracking how these percentages shift over time can reveal trends (e.g., an increasing share of new products may be a significant sign for variation in future forecasts).

  • You can refine sales predictions based on how products transition between categories. For example, if products consistently moves from predictable to unpredictable sales, it might need a different inventory strategy.

3. Performance Evaluation

  • Comparing these percentages across different time periods helps assess how well your demand planning strategy is working.

  • If a large proportion remains in unpredictable sales, it may indicate inefficiencies in forecasting or external market fluctuations affecting sales.

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